<u>THE 10 BEST GAMES TO BET</u>
GIANTS at JAGUARS
1 p.m., Jaguars by 3, 42 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: It’s an inviting line if you happen to’re a giant fan of the spectacular 5-1 Giants however the bubble might burst right here. The Jaguars’ protection is constructed to cease them. Its weak spot is towards the move and the Giants have simply been getting by there. However that protection is ranked third towards the run with a defensive entrance that may stand as much as the Giants’ rising offensive line. The Jaguars are 2-16 ATS of their final 18 video games towards NFC groups. Their final win? Over the Giants. Brian Daboll’s staff is sweet, simply not 6-1 good, and the chances would possibly catch as much as them this week.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Jaguars and the underneath.
JETS at BRONCOS
4:05 p.m., Broncos by 2 ½, 40
HANK’S HONEYS: In a battle of Wilsons at QB, we’re taking Zach. Russell Wilson is day-to-day with a hamstring damage. His incapacity to create on the run as he as soon as did in Seattle has been apparent and this received’t assist him escape Quinnen Williams. We love the Jets’ vitality as far as against the malaise that’s Denver’s. The Broncos could have a formidable protection however we just like the younger Jets’ stars to get sufficient issues performed. You don’t want many factors to beat the Broncos. And that’s additionally cause to maintain going underneath the whole till they show in any other case. Additionally be aware: the Jets are 3-0 ATS as an away staff this season, totaling a league-high 12.8 over the quantity.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Jets and the underneath.
SEAHAWKS at CHARGERS
4:25 p.m., Chargers by 6 ½, 51 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: The Seahawks can dangle round on this one as a result of they’ll run the ball and whereas the Chargers’ run protection has improved over final season, it has been giving up chunk performs to the tune of 5.6 yards per carry. Seattle has been slightly hit and miss on offense and this looks like successful week towards a protection that permits 25.3 ppg. Justin Herbert hasn’t achieved any rhythm together with his offense with Keenan Allen out of the lineup, and though Allen might return this week, his timing needs to be off after 5 straight weeks on the sidelines. The Bolts are 1-2 ATS at house and are minus 11.3 factors to the quantity, the worst mark within the league.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Seahawks and the underneath.
LIONS at COWBOYS
1 p.m., Cowboys by 7, 48
HANK’S HONEYS: Dak is again and he couldn’t title a greater opponent for the event. Let’s put it this manner. The Lions have a protection in title solely. They’ll’t cease the run. They’ll’t cease the move. They’re permitting 428.6 yards per recreation, for goodness sake. The Lions had been rolling on offense till Invoice Belichick’s boys figured them out two weeks in the past. They’re coming off a bye however that’s not almost sufficient time to repair their mess. That is nonetheless an excellent Dallas D regardless of what occurred in Philly final week and they need to be throughout Jared Goff right here.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Cowboys and the over.
COLTS at TITANS
1 p.m., Titans by 2 ½, 43 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: The Colts — and particularly Matt Ryan — are taking part in a lot better than they had been once they suffered a landing defeat to the Titans and at the moment are on a 3-1 ATS run with the lone defeat coming in that recreation. Ryan threw for 356 yards that day however was undone by turnovers. The rematch comes towards the Thirty second-ranked Titans move protection, which has allowed 4 straight opposing QBs to surpass 300 yards. Jonathan Taylor is anticipated to return to lend steadiness. Plus, Indy can’t afford to lose this one or it’s going to fall 1 ½ video games again within the division. We search for issues to even out.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Colts and the over.
BUCS at PANTHERS
1 p.m., Bucs by 10 ½, 40 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: One thing’s not proper with the Bucs and it’s fairly attainable that this complete Tom Brady melodrama has been a drain on the staff. Even with Brady and his offense in synch, the Bucs weren’t masking huge spreads, particularly on the highway. Going again to the beginning of their Tremendous Bowl yr, the Bucs are simply 11-12 total ATS away from Tampa. Sure, the Panthers stink they usually couldn’t transfer the ball in anyway towards the Rams final week. However their protection isn’t half-bad. Grumpy Tom’s offense has barely averaged 20 ppg and that shouldn’t be sufficient to cowl right here. That additionally makes the underneath wager a smart hedge.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Panthers and the underneath.
CHIEFS at 49ERS
4:25 p.m., Chiefs by 3, 48 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: The 49ers are lacking the core of their protection with damage, which isn’t good for a staff that’s carried by its protection. They couldn’t deal with Marcus Mariota’s operating final week and now face among the finest operating QBs in historical past, Patrick Mahomes. Mahomes nonetheless hasn’t gotten right into a rhythm together with his new large receivers however that might occur this week. Jimmy G hasn’t been the reply for a low-scoring 49ers offense that is likely to be pressured right into a shootout. The 49ers are a operating staff first and the Chiefs are ranked fourth towards the run.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Chiefs and the over.
STEELERS at DOLPHINS
8:20 p.m., Dolphins by 7, 44 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: Tua Tagovailoa’s prime-time return after a three-game dropping streak ought to have the Dolphins re-energized and motivated. The distinction earlier than and after has been eye-opening. Someway the Steelers’ injured protection performed manner over its head towards the Brady Bunch however even with Minkah Fitzpatrick set to return, the secondary remains to be banged up and may have issues with Miami’s pace. Mike Tomlin goes again to Kenny Pickett, so long as he passes concussion protocol, even after Mitch Trubisky performed his greatest soccer off the bench final week. It’s nonetheless a troublesome spot for both QB, nonetheless.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Dolphins and the underneath.
BROWNS at RAVENS
1 p.m., Ravens by 6 ½, 45 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: The Browns are within the doldrums that even taking part in towards a divisional rival may not remedy. Their protection has been getting ravaged and it’s grow to be lots simpler to restrict their bruising run recreation because the Pats did final week. RG Wyatt Teller’s continued absence received’t assist. Every little thing else is sluggish and plodding. Whereas the Ravens’ protection has been substandard for the franchise, take away the fourth quarter and the Ravens can be among the many high groups within the league. That pattern’s not going to proceed for lengthy. We expect the league’s fifth-highest-scoring staff figures it out.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Ravens and the over.
BEARS at PATRIOTS
Monday, 8:15 p.m., Pats by 7 ½, 39 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: The Patriots have discovered their id for the season and it’s working. Take into account that Bailey Zappe leads the NFL with a 111.4 passer score due to the Pats’ complimentary operating recreation. Just like final week towards the Browns, Invoice Belichick will take away the Bears’ robust go well with, their operating recreation, and put all the things on Justin Fields’ shoulders. It’s a recipe for interceptions — maybe a defensive rating — and a double-digit win. The Bears are 1-3-1 ATS of their final 5 highway video games if that issues. The Patriots don’t lose to unhealthy groups and positively not at house.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Patriots and the underneath.
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<u>LOOK BUT DON’T TOUCH</u>
FALCONS at BENGALS
1 p.m., Bengals by 6 ½, 47 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: Do you wish to step in entrance of a Falcons practice that has steamrolled the unfold in all six of their video games this season? Or do you consider that the Bengals, with 4 straight wins ATS, are returning to their Tremendous Bowl methods? All of it is determined by which offense units the tone. The Falcons are onerous to play towards with Marcus Mariota utilizing a lot RPO and with Cincy struggling to cease the run, that’s a giant problem. Then again, Joe Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase, et al., appear to be rounding again into type and they are going to be up towards a move protection ranked thirty first out of 32 groups.
CAN’T HELP YOURSELF? Falcons and the over.
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<u>BEST OF THE REST</u>
TEXANS at RAIDERS
4:05 p.m., Raiders by 7, 45 ½
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Raiders and the over.
PACKERS at COMMANDERS
1 p.m., Packers by 5 ½, 41 ½
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Commanders and the over.
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WEEK’S BEST BET: Jets. Receipt please.
LAST WEEK: 5-9 ATS, 7-7 OVER/UNDER
OVERALL: 41-52-1 ATS, 46-47-1 OVER/UNDER
BEST BETS: 3-3